Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
MWA
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 2
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 2
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MWA
5 - 1
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
FEN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |