Plaza Colonia vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 2
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 0
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
CEL
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
MWA
3 - 0
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |