Plaza Colonia vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
HFC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 4
PLA
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 0
CAN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 3
HFC
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
CSC
0 - 1
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAN
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |