Plaza Colonia vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
CEL
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
PLA
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 2
DEP
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
PLA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
PEÑ
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 0
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
MWA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |