Plaza Colonia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 0
FEN
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
LFC
3 - 0
PLA
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CSC
2 - 0
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 0
PLA
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
PLA
1 - 2
LFC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |