Plaza Colonia vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
1º
29
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 1
REN
46%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
PLA
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
PLA
30%
29%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ORI
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
LUZ
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |