Plaza Colonia vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
20
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 1
REN
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
PLA
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
PLA
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ORI
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
LUZ
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |