Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 3
FEN
35%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
26%
28%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 0
PLA
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
DEF
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |