Plaza Colonia vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
2º
24
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 49 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 42 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 33 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 31 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36.5% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PLA
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
SUD
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 1
PLA
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
UMO
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
ORI
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 1
ALB
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |