Plaza Amador vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 2
AMA
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
VER
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 1
AMA
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
AMA
14%
20%
67%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GEM
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
ARA
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
TAU
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SMI
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |