Plaza Amador vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
2º
13
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
20.5% | 4% |
|
Play-offs
|
40% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
SFF
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
AMA
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
COS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |