Plaza Amador vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 3
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
4 - 1
SFF
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |