Apertura Panama Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Plaza Amador vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
CHE
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
AMA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHE
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 1
ARA
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SMI
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |