Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
4º
19
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COS
1 - 2
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
AMA
30%
30%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
COS
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
AFC
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 0
AFC
33%
31%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
COS
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |