Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
25.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 0
COS
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AMA
3 - 0
TAU
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 4
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |