Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
2 - 3
AMA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAU
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
SFF
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SMI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
SFF
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
AFC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 1
AFC
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SFF
2 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |