VFC Plauen vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
16º
4º
31
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
ERZ
3 - 1
PLA
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
VFB
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EIL
0 - 3
PLA
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
SVG
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 5
PLA
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 1
SVB
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVB
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 1
LFC
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 3
SVW
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VFB
1 - 1
SVB
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |