VFC Plauen vs Ludwigsfelder FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
1º
31
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
SVA
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 3
PLA
28%
20%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GER
1 - 4
PLA
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
SCF
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ludwigsfelder FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
EWD
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 1
LFC
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
GER
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
LFC
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
BIS
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |