Platense vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 2
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 3
PLA
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 4
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
PLA
31%
30%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
VSC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
MER
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
MER
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
RIE
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |