Plasencia vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
PLA
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
CPL
4 - 1
PLA
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 0
ASJ
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 1
PLA
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLY
1 - 0
PLA
14%
20%
65%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UDS
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 2
MIA
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
IMP
2 - 1
UDS
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 5
JER
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 1
CDG
17%
23%
61%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | -1 |