Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Plasencia vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
PLA
5 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
PLA
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 0
PUE
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JER
1 - 3
PLA
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
PLA
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
POR
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LON
0 - 4
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
SNT
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
BEA
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |