Plasencia vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
16º
15º
48
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 1
PLA
64%
22%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
CDD
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
PLA
20%
26%
54%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CFJ
2 - 2
PLA
41%
26%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
SAL
12%
24%
64%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JER
1 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 1
JER
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JER
2 - 0
EXT
74%
18%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 2
JER
25%
25%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |