Plasencia vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
PLA
37%
25%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 2
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
PLA
5 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
PLA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 0
PUE
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
SAM
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JER
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |