Plasencia vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 4
PLA
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
MOR
36%
26%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDZ
3 - 1
PLA
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 1
DPC
20%
25%
55%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDB
1 - 0
PLA
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
DPC
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 2
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DBN
2 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |