Plasencia vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 1
PLA
31%
25%
44%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
CHI
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 1
PLA
70%
17%
12%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
TAL
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
PLA
67%
18%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 2
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
TAL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
AMA
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 2
MAL
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 1
AMA
51%
24%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |