Plancoët-Arguenon vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
LAS
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LES
0 - 0
CHA
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAN
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
ANG
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |