Plan-les-Ouates vs Stade Payerne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
16º
14º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
73% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plan-les-Ouates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ODG
0 - 0
PLO
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PLO
3 - 4
MAR
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 1
PLO
83%
10%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PLO
3 - 2
ECH
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FOO
3 - 3
PLO
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
PER
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
STA
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
6 - 1
VEY
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
STA
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
UGS
4 - 1
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |