Plácido de Castro vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AND
3 - 4
PLA
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 2
SCH
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
GAL
18%
18%
63%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
YAP
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
PAY
4 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |