Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Plácido de Castro vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
PLA
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCI
10%
21%
69%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCI
3 - 0
SAL
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |