Plácido de Castro vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
PLA
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 2
RIO
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
PLA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 3
RIO
10%
15%
74%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAY
3 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAY
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
REM
31%
23%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
REM
1 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |