Plácido de Castro vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
PLA
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 2
RIO
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
PLA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAU
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAU
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
GAS
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | -1 |