Copa Verde Last 16
Global 0-1
Plácido de Castro vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAL
23%
26%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
PLA
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 2
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 3
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAC
88%
10%
2%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | -1 |