Plácido de Castro vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
CUI
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
RIO
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
PLA
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |