Plácido de Castro vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PLA
3 - 2
BRO
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 1
PLA
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PLA
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PLA
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
IND
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |