Plácido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 5
PLA
22%
21%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 7
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 6
PLA
20%
21%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Senador Guiomard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SEG
1 - 2
RIO
14%
17%
68%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
SEG
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 4
IND
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SEG
4 - 1
NAU
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 1
RIO
18%
18%
64%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |