Plácido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 2
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
PLA
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AND
4 - 2
PLA
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 6
RIO
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAU
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Senador Guiomard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
SEG
0 - 1
NAU
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
SEG
76%
14%
9%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |