Plabennec vs Vitré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
39
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
DOL
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 2
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPM
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |