Plabennec vs ES Dol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
23
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 3
PLA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 0
CHO
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 2
PLA
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ES Dol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
USF
3 - 2
DOL
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 1
LAT
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 4
VIT
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
DOL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 2
DIN
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |