Pla de Na Tesa Sub 19 vs Penya Arrabal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
17º
7º
43
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 77 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 62 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pla de Na Tesa Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FER
2 - 1
PNT
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 2
PNT
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
PNT
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PNT
2 - 3
PLM
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
PNT
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 1
CEC
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 0
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
RCD
5 - 0
ADP
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
ADP
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 0
IBI
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |