Piteå vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
14º
36
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 64 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
63% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UME
3 - 0
PIT
72%
17%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 3
NOR
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
2 - 1
FRI
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STO
2 - 0
PIT
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 6
KAR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
OST
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
STO
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HTF
0 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
ORE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |