Pistoiese vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 0
CRO
25%
28%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 0
PIS
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 3
JUS
45%
30%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 2
POT
49%
29%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 0
VIR
45%
30%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 0
SOR
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PES
4 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
MAR
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |