Pistoiese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 0
PIS
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 1
PIS
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
PIS
1 - 0
ANC
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
PIS
0 - 0
GEN
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
REG
2 - 0
PIS
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 2
CES
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
GEN
0 - 1
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 1
REG
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 1
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |