Pistoiese vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PIS
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 2
GAL
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIS
56%
26%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PIS
2 - 2
PES
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
REA
2 - 0
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
REA
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
JUS
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PAG
67%
22%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
SOR
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |