Pistoiese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 3
PIS
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIS
0 - 2
PIS
25%
28%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
IMO
4 - 2
PIS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 2
GOZ
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
PIA
3 - 3
PIS
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRO
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 2
NOV
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 3
NOV
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
JS2
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
NOV
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |