Pistoiese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
PIS
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 1
CES
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PIS
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
3 - 0
ANC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 3
MOD
17%
27%
56%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 1
SIE
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
MOD
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 2
OLB
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |