Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 2
ARZ
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
SAS
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PIS
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
48%
28%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |