Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
22%
30%
48%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
GEN
5 - 0
PIS
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 0
ANC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |