Pistoiese vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TUT
0 - 2
PIS
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 2
GRO
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 4
REG
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
PIS
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TER
3 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
PIA
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |