Pistoiese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 1
FCC
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
COM
1 - 0
PIS
53%
28%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 3
JUV
16%
27%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
AVE
3 - 0
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
PRG
3 - 0
PIS
57%
27%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
BOL
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
43%
30%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
FIO
1 - 1
COM
68%
22%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |