Pistoiese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIS
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PIS
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 2
VIC
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 2
PIS
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 1
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BOL
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |