Pistoiese vs Tau Altopascio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
13º
5º
48
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81.5% | 88% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
PIS
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 2
FOR
18%
25%
58%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 3
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
PIS
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tau Altopascio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
PIA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TUT
1 - 1
ASD
16%
23%
60%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
ASD
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAV
0 - 0
ASD
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACP
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |